John Meyers, 515 Housing Consultant


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Back to > CARH June 2002

Remarks by:

Raymond K. James, Esq.
CARH Lobbyist
Coan and Lyons
Washington, D.C.
202.728.1070

Addressing CARH:

Money’s Almost Everything

Without Chuck Edson to give me incentive, I just don’t feel like telling jokes any more.

You know the refrain “Show me the money?” Money may not be everything, but in Housing programs, it’s almost everything. What we have today going on in Washington is not finding the money, but finding the program.

We’re spending time looking at programs, arguing over the terms of the programs and what they should look like, but we don’t have the money. Nor are we wasting our time. This year we’ve had the most activity looking at new programs in quite a long time. We have the Millennial Housing Commission, which just issued a report recommending a couple of new programs. We have a Housing Bill in the House that contains a new housing production program. We have a proposal called the National Housing Trust that the low-income housing advocates around the country have been pushing and have gotten a couple hundred signatures in Congress. We have at least three or four new production programs under consideration in Washington this year.

Money? What Money?

Where’s the money? No one is talking about the money. The money comes from, number one, the President’s Budget. The President and his Administration determine the priorities and they put those priorities in the Budget. Not much money for Housing in the President’s Budget. Congress also has a Budget, and it reflects the Congress’s priorities, and that Budget has been going through the process right now. The Congress also is not giving Housing a priority for money.

So right now, there is no money. Is it possible that programs can be designed in so brilliant and attractive a fashion that just to look at them will bring forth money? I don’t think so. Our big problem is not designing the programs, but finding the money.

Still No Money

Both the Millennial Housing Commission and the House Housing Bill pretty much punt on the issue of money. How much money should we put into Housing neither one said. They have no numbers. The Millennial Housing Commission said 100,000 units is good, 250,000 units a year is better, and 500,000 units a year is best. But that’s not the issue when providing money. There are no numbers.

The reason there are no numbers is because it won’t work. The President’s Budget and the Congressional Budget have no room for these new programs. We really have to solve the money problem first. Sure, there’s a need and the Millennial Housing Commission did a pretty good job in describing and analyzing the need for housing assistance. But a lot of the time you fall into a trap when you do that. You say the need is greatest at the bottom of the income scale.

Extremely Low Income

You have the new category of the Extremely Low Income. You have Low Income, that wasn’t low enough; Very Low Income, that’s not low enough; now we have Extremely Low Income: people below 30% of the median income. Of course you can make a better case the lower you go down the income scale for housing need. These people generally pay a higher percentage of their income for rent and they live in substandard housing to a greater extent than higher income people.

The problem with too much focus on the Very-Low or Extremely Low Income people at the bottom of the scale — and we’ve had experience in the past — is that you lose some of the support for putting money into these programs. Back in the early 80’s there was a very conservative Republican Senator from Colorado named Armstrong who said, “There’s enough housing in existence and we don’t need any more, it’s just going to the wrong people.” He was joined by liberal low income housing advocates to go together to lower the income limits in Section 8 and Public Housing programs.

Broader Eligibility Builds Support

Of course, that was the beginning of the end of Congressional support for housing production in the urban areas. That is just my theory, I’m not saying it’s what everyone believes. Some people think that if you do focus on the Extremely Low Income you have a better case for getting money. It is my opinion, and I’ve practiced this my whole life, that you get better support for Housing programs if you have high income limits. It’s not that the higher range will be assisted, in fact when Section 8 was initiated the income limit was 80% of median with a small set aside for 50% of median. We didn’t have a procession of people at 60, 70, 80% of median who lived in Section 8 housing, but we had a program that looked like it was very broad and not designed for a very small segment of the population, but much broader to include teachers, policemen, other people — even though most of the people that actually got Section 8 were in the Very Low Income category. So I think it is a mistake to focus solely on the Extremely Low Income, which is what we’re getting now in the Millennial Housing Commission recommendation and which is also the trend reflected in the House’s Housing Bill.

Cost of Section 8 Renewals

Another aspect to the money — and this is something I’ve been hearing for eight years — is that the cost of Section 8 renewals is eating up all the housing money, and something has to be done. I’ve been hearing that from people on the Hill and in the Administration every few years. They’ve predicted calamity by now in program funding. That hasn’t happened, and I don’t think it is going to happen. It’s an excuse for how programs are designed and the adoption of new policies. The reason it’s not going to happen is that the Congress in its budget takes care of the cost of Section 8 renewals; “How much is it going to cost? $16 Billion? Here’s $16 Billion, now we’ll take care of the rest of the programs.”

Section 8 Is Absorbed

Six years ago Section 8 renewals cost $3.5 Billion; last year, it cost over $16 Billion. Has it crowded out the rest of the Housing budget? No. The rest of the Housing budget grew in that six-year period, as you would expect, at about the level of inflation. That has been the policy of the government over the last several years with respect to low priority domestic spending. Keep it steady or let it grow with inflation; that’s exactly what has happened to the Housing budget to accommodate the substantial increase in Section 8 renewal costs; it has not affected the remainder of the budget.

But people are designing new programs to take away from the Section 8 account and put it in some other account. For example, both the Millennial Housing Commission and the House Housing Bill advocate full capital subsidies for production — financing the entire capital cost of the project. That shifts money away from, for example, using Section 8 Vouchers to cover most of the cost of housing, which is what might be done in a HOME project or Low Income Housing Tax Credit project: shifting from the Section 8 account to a new capital account.

Capital Isn’t Cheap

Where’s the money for the new capital account? To do a full capital subsidy costs ten times as much in the initial year as using a Section 8 Voucher with a thin capital subsidy. This doesn’t make too much sense to me because where’s that ten-times amount going to come from? We can barely get one tenth of the amount right now. Nonetheless, this notion that we cannot load up on the Section 8 renewal account any more is leading policy makers to design programs where the money will be front-ended in new programs and require even more of an increase in the budget for the initial year.

If I were designing the program, I’d put as much as I could in the Section 8 budget because the renewal (which will be a one year cost, the way things work now) will be pretty much guaranteed. The renewal becomes part of the Congressional Budget; it’s not something you have to fight for every year after. Get the first year in, and the rest will fall into place. Instead, some of the policy makers are going the other way: reduce the use of Section 8 and increase the capital subsidies.

Thrifty Housing Production Voucher

That’s reflected in the notion called the “Thrifty Housing Production Voucher,” which is discussed in the Millennial Housing Commission report and is contained in the House Housing Bill. It’s a voucher that subsidizes only the operating costs of the unit. Which means something else has to fund the capital costs. It shifts money from the Section 8 account to some capital subsidy account.

I think part of the reasoning for that is to reduce the Section 8 renewal funding. But I think that’s malarkey. It’s going in absolutely the wrong direction.

Sources For Funding?

To be fair, some of the proponents of the new production programs have been thinking about the source of funding. Unfortunately, the thinking has not been successful. The proponents of the National Housing Trust Fund said, “Let’s use the FHA surplus as our source of money.” At least that’s a good try. It’s just not going over with anyone. First of all, the FHA surplus is not a pot of money: FHA surpluses are just an accounting term that reflects the present value of the insurance in force over the life of the insurance. For example, what is the expected surplus of premiums over expenses over, say, the next 20 years? It’s not actual money. Second, the use of those surpluses would have a budget impact just as an Appropriation would have an impact. It’s not free money. It just looks like it’s free money because it appears to be already there.

For that reason, the Appropriators in Congress have stressed opposition to the concept. Even more important, the last Administration had a large meeting of Housing interest groups and persons because the Administration had a proposal to use similar surplus funds for Housing production. They brought us all together and asked for advice on how to divvy up the $5 Billion they proposed. The Administration expected us to be very supportive. We had a few fights in how to divvy it up, but the attitude of the group was overwhelmingly that this is an FHA insurance program with premiums that are supposed to keep the program self sufficient. That is, this is not an income producing program — we should not be diverting premium income for other purposes. If the premiums are too high, lower them to help more people afford homes, but don’t make this into either a budget gain to the government or a source of money for other funds. The Administration was quite surprised that so many Housing professionals took this attitude, and dropped its proposal.

A lot of Members are signing on to the Housing Trust Bill. Why? Because they’re being asked to do it by the advocates. But the Bill won’t be going anywhere this year or any year.

No Free Money

The program in the House Housing Bill also provides a source of funding that looked like free money, but wasn’t. The House Bill says let’s fund the program from recaptured Section 8 money — Section 8 owners opting out, Voucher moneys not used — that becomes available. Congress has traditionally taken that money back and, when they rescind money, that’s an offset to other spending. So if they take back $1 Billion in Section 8, recapture it, that would match another Billion in Appropriations. They do that every year. In the Supplemental Appropriations Bill for 2002 that is going through Congress right now, the Congress is taking $300 million of current recaptured Section 8 money and rescinding it to apply to other spending in a Bill that is not even related to Housing. They’ve done this in other Supplemental Appropriations Bills in the past.

What’s left is generally rescinded by the HUD Appropriators to help pay for other expenditures in their Budget. The Trust Fund looks free, but isn’t free. If you use it for the new housing production programs, it can’t be used to help balance the remainder of the Budget, so it’s not free at all, and probably wouldn’t be available. I believe the House staff are considering dropping that proposal; everybody heaped scorn on it during the Hearings.

That’s where we are on the money. It is interesting to talk about program design, what the program should have, but unless you solve the problem of the money, I think you’re wasting your time.

Thank you.


Next:  Running Out of Juice

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